Blar i Norges Banks publikasjonsserier / Norges Bank publication series på tittel
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A New Settlement System at Norges Bank
(Journal article, 2012)Norges Bank is among the first central banks to have outsourced the IT operation of its settlement system and adopted a second generation off-the-shelf settlement system from a commercial software vendor. During the two ... -
A Note on Inflation Persistence
(Working Papers;14/2002, Working paper, 2002)Macroeconomists have for some time been aware that the New Keynesian Phillips curve, though highly popular in the literature, cannot explain the persistence observed in actual inflation. We argue that one of the more ... -
A Quantitative Discursive Dilemma
(Working Papers;7/2007, Working paper, 2007)The typical judgment aggregation problem in economics and other fields is the following: A group of people has to judge/estimate the value of an uncertain variable y which is a function of κ other variables, i.e. y=D(χ1, ... -
A Retrospective on the Introduction of Prices in the Norwegian Payment System
(Journal article, 2006)During the 1980s, Norwegian banks introduced direct pricing of customers’ use of payment services. Direct pricing of payment services is relatively uncommon in other countries and Norway thus stands out in relation to the ... -
A Small, Calibrated Macromodel to Support Inflation Targeting at Norges Bank
(Staff Memo;3/2004, Working paper, 2004)This note outlines a small, calibrated macromodel that can be used to support inflation targeting at Norges Bank. The model provides a stylised representation of the key flows in the macro economy, with a particular emphasis ... -
A Study of Implied Risk-Neutral Density Functions in the Norwegian Option Market
(Working Papers;13/2002, Working paper, 2002)Option prices are assumed to contain unique information about how market participants assess the likelihood of different outcomes for future market prices. The main object of this study is to analyse the potential value ... -
A Suite-Of-Models Approach to Stress-Testing Financial Stability
(Staff Memo;2/2008, Working paper, 2008)This paper presents a suite of models developed to stress-test financial stability. A macro model is linked to micro data-based models for households, firms and banks. The macro model includes credit- and consumer ... -
A Survey of Econometric Methods for Mixed-Frequency Data
(Working Papers;6/2013, Working paper, 2013)The development of models for variables sampled at different frequencies has attracted substantial interest in the recent econometric literature. In this paper we provide an overview of the most common techniques, including ... -
A Test of Uncovered Interest Rate Parity for Ten European Countries Based on Bottstrapping and Panel Data Models
(Working Papers;9/1997, Working paper, 1997)Based on both single country models and panel data models uncovered interest rate parity is tested for ten European countries relative to Germany by regressing exchange rate changes on interest rate differentials. The ... -
A Transaction Data Study of the Forward Bias Puzzle
(Working Papers;26/2010, Working paper, 2010)Using ten years of FX transactions data we demonstrate that a large share of the FX forward discount bias can be accounted for by order flow. A simple microstructure-based decomposition suggests that order flow creates a ... -
Age Structure Effects and Consumption in Norway, 1968(3) – 1998(4)
(Working Papers;1/2003, Working paper, 2003)In this paper the effects of a changing age distribution on aggregate consumption are analysed. This is done by estimating a Norwegian consumption function which controls for age structure effects. The model is estimated ... -
Aggregate Bankruptcy Probabilities and Their Role in Explaining Banks’ Loan Losses
(Working Papers;2/2004, Working paper, 2004)Increased competition forces banks to narrow lending margins and at the same time relaxed lending standards worsen the pool of borrowers. To preserve sound banking system it is important task to monitor credit risk as one ... -
Aggregate density forecast of models using disaggregate data - A copula approach
(Working paper;5/2022, Working paper, 2022)We propose a novel copula approach to producing density forecasts of economic aggregates combining models using disaggregate data. Our copula approach is more flexible compared to existing techniques, because it is applicable ... -
Agreeing on Disagreement: Heterogeneity or Uncertainty?
(Working Papers;4/2016, Working paper, 2016)Disagreement is used as a measure of both investor heterogeneity and uncertainty. We study whether disagreement captures heterogeneity or uncertainty for the foreign exchange market. We do so by relating disagreement to ... -
Aksjemarkedets mikrostruktur – betyr det noe?
(Journal article, 2006)Mikrostrukturmodeller skiller seg fra tradisjonelle finansmodeller ved å åpne for at lovlig informasjon om underliggende selskapsverdier kan være ulikt fordelt og analysert mellom markedsaktørene. Litteraturen på fagområdet ... -
Alternative virkemidler i pengepolitikken - den nødvendige monetære økosirk
(Staff Memo;12/2016, Working paper, 2016)I dette notatet ser vi [...] nærmere på alternative virkemidler med særlig fokus på monetær økosirk. Vi drøfter først ulike pengemengdebegreper og hvordan penger skapes. Deretter ser vi nærmere på såkalte likviditetsstyr ... -
An Analysis of Banks' Problem Loans
(Journal article, 2007)In this analysis, we look at the macroeconomic factors which function as driving forces behind developments in banks’ problem loans. Problem loans include non-performing loans and other particularly doubtful loans. Since ... -
An Analysis of Financial Ratios for the Oslo Stock Exchange
(Journal article, 2007)Share prices are driven by companies’ operations, funding and the risk premium required by investors. This article examines financial ratios that may reflect these three variables for the Oslo Stock Exchange in the period ... -
An Equilibrium Model of Credit Rating Agencies
(Working Papers;23/2012, Working paper, 2012)We develop a model of credit rating agencies (CRAs) based on reputation concerns. Ratings affect investors' choice and, thereby, also issuers' access to funding and default risk. We show that - in equilibrium - the ... -
An historical perspective on financial stability and monetary policy regimes : A case for caution in central banks current obsession with financial stability
(Working papers;5/2018, Working paper, 2018)The global financial crisis (GFC) of 2007-2008 led to a call for central banks to elevate their financial stability mandate to the same level as their price stability mandate. It also led to a call for central banks to use ...