• A Quantitative Discursive Dilemma 

      Claussen, Carl Andreas; Røisland, Øistein (Working Papers;7/2007, Working paper, 2007)
      The typical judgment aggregation problem in economics and other fields is the following: A group of people has to judge/estimate the value of an uncertain variable y which is a function of κ other variables, i.e. y=D(χ1, ...
    • Collective Economic Decisions and the Discursive Dilemma 

      Claussen, Carl Andreas; Røisland, Øistein (Working Papers;3/2005, Working paper, 2005)
      Most economic decisions involve judgments. When decisions are taken collectively, various judgment aggregation problems may occur. Here we consider an aggregation problem called the discursive dilemma , which is characterized ...
    • Communicating Monetary Policy Intentions: The Case of Norges Bank 

      Holmsen, Amund; Qvigstad, Jan F.; Røisland, Øistein; Solberg-Johansen, Kristin (Working Papers;20/2008, Working paper, 2008)
      Monetary policy works mainly through private agents’ expectations. How precisely future policy intentions are communicated has, according to theory, implications for the outcome of monetary policy. Norges Bank has gone ...
    • Explaining Interest Rate Decisions When the MPC Members Believe in Different Stories 

      Claussen, Carl Andreas; Røisland, Øistein (Working Papers;7/2013, Working paper, 2013)
      Modern central banks do not only announce the interest rate decision, they also communicate a "story" that explains why they reached the particular decision. When decisions are made by a committee, it could be difficult ...
    • Fiscal Policy Under Inflation Targeting 

      Røisland, Øistein; Torvik, Ragnar (Working Papers;15/2000, Working paper, 2000)
      The paper discusses the role of fiscal policy as an instrument for macroeconomic stabilisation when monetary policy pursues inflation targeting. Within a theoretical model of an open economy with a traded and non-traded ...
    • Inflation Inertia and the Optimal Hybrid Inflation/Price-Level Target 

      Røisland, Øistein (Working Papers;4/2005, Working paper, 2005)
      A hybrid inflation/price-level target combines elements of both inflation and price-level targets. The paper derives a hybrid target within a new Keynesian model with inflation persistence due to price indexation. The ...
    • Monetary Policy Decisions – Comparing Theory and "Inside" Information from MPC Members 

      Apel, Mikael; Claussen, Carl Andreas; Gerlach-Kristen, Petra; Lennartsdotter, Petra; Røisland, Øistein (Working Papers;3/2013, Working paper, 2013)
      We analyze the influence of the Taylor rule on US monetary policy by estimating the policy preferences of the Fed within a DSGE framework. The policy preferences are represented by a standard loss function, extended with ...
    • Monetary policy when export revenues drop 

      Bergholt, Drago; Røisland, Øistein; Sveen, Tommy; Torvik, Ragnar (Working paper;11/2022, Working paper, 2022)
      We study how monetary policy should respond to shocks which permanently alter the steady state structure of the economy. In such a case monetary policy affects not only the short run misallocations due to nominal rigidities, ...
    • On the Interplay Between Monetary Policy and Macroprudential Policy: A Simple Analytical Framework 

      Røisland, Øistein (Working Papers;18/2018, Working paper, 2017)
      The paper provides a simple analytical framework for analyzing the interplay between monetary policy and macroprudential policy. Three questions are analyzed: (i) Under which assumptions is coordination necessary to implement ...
    • Optimum Currency Areas Under Inflation Targeting 

      Røisland, Øistein; Torvik, Ragnar (Working Papers;10/1999, Working paper, 1999)
      Several countries face the choice between targeting inflation independently or entering a monetary union that targets inflation. The present paper extends the theory of optimum currency areas to deal with this choice. In ...
    • Overconfidence, Monetary Policy Committees and Chairman Dominance 

      Claussen, Carl Andreas; Matsen, Egil; Røisland, Øistein; Torvik, Ragnar (Working Papers;17/2009, Working paper, 2009)
      We suggest that overconfidence among policymakers explains why formal decision power over monetary policy is given to committees, while much of the real power to set policy remains with central bank chairmen. Overconfidence ...
    • Robustifying Optimal Monetary Policy Using Simple Rules as Cross-Checks 

      Ilbas, Pelin; Røisland, Øistein; Sveen, Tommy (Working Papers;22/2012, Working paper, 2012)
      There are two main approaches to modelling monetary policy; simple instrument rules and optimal policy. We propose an alternative that combines the two by extending the loss function with a term penalizing deviations from ...
    • The Choice of Monetary Policy Regime for Small Open Economies 

      Leitemo, Kai; Røisland, Øistein (Working Papers;5/2000, Working paper, 2000)
      The paper analyses alternative monetary policy regimes within a simple, estimated macroeconomic model with a traded and a non-traded sector. Two general classes of regimes are considered, inflation targeting and exchange ...
    • The Discursive Dilemma in Monetary Policy 

      Claussen, Carl Andreas; Røisland, Øistein (Working Papers;5/2010, Working paper, 2010)
      The discursive dilemma implies that the policy decision of a board of policymakers depends on whether the board reaches the decision by voting directly on policy (conclusion-based procedure), or by voting on the premises ...
    • The Influence of the Taylor Rule on US Monetary Policy 

      Ilbas, Pelin; Røisland, Øistein; Sveen, Tommy (Working Papers;4/2013, Working paper, 2013)
      We analyze the influence of the Taylor rule on US monetary policy by estimating the policy preferences of the Fed within a DSGE framework. The policy preferences are represented by a standard loss function, extended with ...
    • When Preferences for a Stable Interest Rate Become Self-Defeating 

      Alstadheim, Ragna; Røisland, Øistein (Working Papers;8/2016, Working paper, 2016)
      Monetary policy makers often seem to have preferences for a stable interest rate, in addition to stable inflation and output. In this paper we investigate the implications of having an interest rate level term in the loss ...
    • Why Do People Give Less Weight to Advice the Further It Is from Their Initial Opinion? 

      Ravazzolo, Francesco; Røisland, Øistein (Working Papers;4/2010, Working paper, 2010)
      Experimental studies on decision making based on advice received from others find that the weight put on the advice is negatively related to the distance between the advice and the decisionmaker's initial opinion. In this ...