• Oil and Us GDP: A Real-Time Out-Of-Sample Examination 

      Ravazzolo, Francesco; Rothman, Philip (Working Papers;18/2010, Working paper, 2010)
      We study the real-time Granger-causal relationship between crude oil prices and US GDP growth through a simulated out-of-sample (OOS) forecasting exercise; we also provide strong evidence of in-sample predictability from ...