Browsing Norges Banks vitenarkiv by Subject "monetary policy"
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An historical perspective on financial stability and monetary policy regimes : A case for caution in central banks current obsession with financial stability
(Working papers;5/2018, Working paper, 2018)The global financial crisis (GFC) of 2007-2008 led to a call for central banks to elevate their financial stability mandate to the same level as their price stability mandate. It also led to a call for central banks to use ... -
Are Bank Lending Shocks Important for Economic Fluctuations?
(Working Papers;27/2009, Working paper, 2009)We analyze the importance of bank lending shocks on real activity in Norway and the UK, using structural VARs and based on quarterly data for the past 21 years. The VARs are identified using a combination of sign and ... -
Asymmetric effects of monetary policy in regional housing markets
(Working paper;25/2017, Working paper, 2017)The responsiveness of house prices to monetary policy shocks depends both on the nature of the shock – expansionary versus contractionary – and on city-specific housing supply elasticities. We test and find supporting ... -
Changing Supply Elasticities and Regional Housing Booms
(Working Paper;8/2019, Working paper, 2019)Recent developments in US house prices mirror those of the 1996-2006 boom, but the recovery in construction activity has been weak. Using data for 254 US metropolitan areas, we show hat housing supply elasticities have ... -
Did monetary policy kill the Phillips Curve? Some simple arithmetics
(Working paper;2/2023, Working paper, 2023)An apparent disconnect has taken place between inflation and economic activity in the US over the last 25 years, with price inflation remaining remarkably stable in spite of large fluctuations in the output gap and other ... -
Distributional effects of monetary policy in Norway
(Staff Memo;4/2021, Working paper, 2021)We quantify the short-term effects of both non-systematic and systematic monetary policy on the income and wealth distribution in Norway, and measure the relative importance of the various channels. An expansionary monetary ... -
Do Central Banks Respond Timely to Developments in the Global Economy?
(Working Papers;19/2016, Working paper, 2016)Our analysis suggests; they do not! To arrive at this conclusion we construct a real-time data set of interest rate projections from central banks in three small open economies; New Zealand, Norway, and Sweden, and analyze ... -
Do Central Banks Respond to Exchange Rate Movements? a Markov-Switching Structural Investigation
(Working Papers;24/2013, Working paper, 2013)Do central banks respond to exchange rate movements? According to Lubik and Schorfheide (2007) who estimate structural general equilibrium models with monetary policy rules, the answer is "Yes, some do". However, their ... -
Documentation of NEMO - Norges Bank’s Core Model for Monetary Policy Analysis and Forecasting
(Staff Memo;8/2017, Working paper, 2017)This paper explains the basic mechanisms of Norges Bank’s core model for monetary policy analysis and forecasting (NEMO). NEMO has recently been extended with an oil sector to incorporate important channels of shocks to ... -
Does Monetary Policy React to Asset Prices? Some International Evidence
(Working Papers;7/2008, Working paper, 2008)This paper attempts to measure the reaction of monetary policy to the stock market. We apply the procedure of Rigobon and Sack (2003) to identify and estimate a VAR in the presence of heteroskedasticity. This procedure ... -
Does Publication of Interest Rate Paths Provide Guidance?
(Working Paper;16/2019, Working paper, 2019)Does the central bank practice of publishing interest rate projections (IRPs) improve how market participants map new information into future interest rates? Using high-frequent data on Forward Rate Agreements (FRAs) we ... -
Downward nominal house price rigidity: Evidence from three centuries of data on housing transactions
(Working paper;1/2023, Working paper, 2023)By analyzing housing data from the period 1850 to 2019 in Norway, we find evidence of downward nominal house price rigidity. More specifically, we document that there is a marked fraction of repeat-sales housing transactions ... -
ECB Spillovers and Domestic Monetary Policy Effectiveness in Small Open Economies
(Working Paper;9/2018, Working paper, 2018)In this paper we study financial spillovers from the European Central Bank's (ECB) monetary policy and communication, and whether they have consequences for the effectiveness of domestic monetary policy of small open ... -
Econometric Inflation Targeting
(Working Papers;5/1999, Working paper, 1999)Inflation targeting makes the Central Bank’s conditional inflation forecast the operational target for monetary policy. Successful inflation targeting requires knowing the transmission mechanisms to inflation from shocks ... -
Economic Uncertainty and the Effectiveness of Monetary Policy
(Working Papers;17/2013, Working paper, 2013)This paper explores if economic uncertainty alters the macroeconomic influence of monetary policy. We consider several measures of U.S. economic uncertainty, and estimate their interaction effects with monetary policy ... -
Estimating the Output Gap in Real Time: A Factor Model Approach
(Working Papers;23/2008, Working paper, 2008)An approximate dynamic factor model can substantially improve the reliability of real time output gap estimates. The model extracts a common component from macroeconomic indicators, which reduces errors in the gap due to ... -
Financial Globalization and Bank Lending : The Limits of Domestic Monetary Policy?
(Working papers;4/2018, Working paper, 2018)We empirically analyze how bank lending reacts to monetary policy in the presence of global financial flows. Employing a unique and novel dataset of the funding modes and currency composition of the full population of ... -
Financial Imbalances, Crisis Probability and Monetary Policy in Norway
(Working Papers;21/2017, Working paper, 2017)We assess the strength of the impact of a monetary policy shock on financial crisis probability in Norway. Policy effects go via the interest rate impact on credit, house prices and banks’ wholesale funding. We find that ... -
Firm-Specific Capital and Welfare
(Working Papers;4/2006, Working paper, 2006)What are the consequences for monetary policy design implied by the fact that price setting and investment takes typically place simultaneously at the firm level? To address this question we analyze simple (constrained) ... -
Firm-Specific Capital, Nominal Rigidities, and the Taylor Principle
(Working Papers;6/2006, Working paper, 2006)In the presence of firm-specific capital the Taylor principle can generate multiple equilibria. Sveen and Weinke (2005b) obtain that result in the context of a Calvo-style sticky price model. One potential criticism is ...