Blar i Norges Banks vitenarkiv på emneord "JEL: C5"

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    • A New Monthly Indicator of Global Real Economic Activity 

      Ravazzolo, Francesco; Vespignani, Joaquin L. (Working Papers;6/2015, Working paper, 2015)
      In modelling macroeconomic time series, often a monthly indicator of global real economic activity is used. We propose a new indicator, named World steel production, and compare it to other existing indicators, precisely ...

    • Asset Returns, News Topics, and Media Effects 

      Larsen, Vegard Høghaug; Thorsrud, Leif Anders (Working Papers;17/2017, Working paper, 2017)
      We decompose the textual data in a daily Norwegian business newspaper into news topics and investigate their predictive and causal role for asset prices. Our three main findings are: (1) a one unit innovation in the news ...

    • Econometric Inflation Targeting 

      Bårdsen, Gunnar; Jansen, Eilev S.; Nymoen, Ragnar (Working Papers;5/1999, Working paper, 1999)
      Inflation targeting makes the Central Bank’s conditional inflation forecast the operational target for monetary policy. Successful inflation targeting requires knowing the transmission mechanisms to inflation from shocks ...

    • Multiple Unemployment Equilibria: Do Transitory Shocks Have Permanent Effects? 

      Akram, Q. Farooq (Working Papers;6/1999, Working paper, 1999)
      This paper tests for multiple equilibria in the Norwegian unemployment rate and investigates whether it displays asymmetric response to positive and negative shocks. Linear and nonlinear univariate models are employed to ...

    • Term Structure Forecasting Using Macro Factors and Forecast Combination 

      de Pooter, Michiel; Ravazzolo, Francesco; van Dijk, Dick (Working Papers;1/2010, Working paper, 2010)
      We examine the importance of incorporating macroeconomic information and, in particular, accounting for model uncertainty when forecasting the term structure of U.S.interest rates. We start off by analyzing and comparing ...