Blar i Norges Banks vitenarkiv på forfatter "Maffei-Faccioli, Nicolò"
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Bad News, Good News: Coverage and Response Asymmetries
Gambetti, Luca; Maffei-Faccioli, Nicolò; Zoi, Sarah (Working paper;8/2022, Working paper, 2022)We study the dynamic link between economic news coverage and the macroeconomy. We construct two measures of media coverage of bad and good unemployment figures based on three major US newspapers. Using nonlinear time series ... -
Foreign banks and the doom loop
Albertazzi, Ugo; Cimadomo, Jacopo; Maffei-Faccioli, Nicolò (Working paper;2/2022, Working paper, 2022)This paper explores whether foreign banks stabilise or destabilise lending to the real economy in the presence of sovereign stress in the domestic economy and abroad. In this context, the presence of foreign intermediaries ... -
Identifying the sources of the slowdown in growth: Demand vs. supply
Maffei-Faccioli, Nicolò (Working Paper;9/2021, Working paper, 2021)Long-run GDP growth has declined in the United States over the past two decades. Two competing views take the stage in accounting for this slowdown: demand-side and supply-side. I empirically quantify their relative ... -
The impact of financial shocks on the forecast distribution of output and inflation
Forni, Mario; Gambetti, Luca; Maffei-Faccioli, Nicolò; Sala, Luca (Working paper;3/2023, Working paper, 2023)Financial shocks represent a major driver of fluctuations in tail risk, defined as the 5th percentile of the forecast distributions of output and inflation. Since the variance and the asymmetry of the forecast distributions ... -
Nonlinear transmission of financial shocks: Some new evidence
Forni, Mario; Gambetti, Luca; Maffei-Faccioli, Nicolò; Sala, Luca (Working paper;3/2022, Working paper, 2022)Financial shocks generate a protracted and quantitatively important effect on real economic activity and financial markets only if the shocks are both negative and large. Otherwise, their role is quite modest. Financial ... -
The Norwegian Taylor rule
Lindalen, Ingvild Hagen; Maffei-Faccioli, Nicolò (Staff Memo;5/2025, Working paper, 2025)This paper estimates various Taylor rules for Norway based on the observed money market rate (Nibor). We begin by examining standard Taylor rules from the literature, applying them to Norwegian data to assess their fit. ... -
Piecing the puzzle : real exchange rates and long-run fundamentals
Bjørnland, Hilde C.; Brubakk, Leif; Maffei-Faccioli, Nicolò (Working paper;21/2024, Working paper, 2024)This paper examines the structural determinants of real exchange rates, emphasizing the persistent low-frequency movements that traditional models, such as Purchasing Power Parity (PPP) and Uncovered Interest Parity (UIP), ... -
What drives the recent surge in inflation? The historical decomposition roller coaster
Bergholt, Drago; Canova, Fabio; Furlanetto, Francesco; Maffei-Faccioli, Nicolò; Ulvedal, Pål (Working paper;7/2024, Working paper, 2024)What drives the recent inflation surge? To answer this question, one must decompose inflation fluctuations into the contribution of structural shocks. We document how whimsical such a historical shock decomposition can be ... -
Where do they care? : The ECB in the media and inflation expectations
Larsen, Vegard Høghaug; Maffei-Faccioli, Nicolò; Pagenhardt, Laura (Working paper;4/2023, Working paper, 2023)This paper examines how news coverage of the European Central Bank (ECB) affects consumer inflation expectations in the four largest euro area countries. Utilizing a unique dataset of multilingual European news articles, ...