Blar i Norges Banks publikasjonsserier / Norges Bank publication series på emneord "forecasts"
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Announcements of Interest Rate Forecasts: Do Policymakers Stick to Them?
(Working Papers;11/2013, Working paper, 2013)If central banks value the ex-post accuracy of their forecasts, previously announced interest rate paths might affect the current policy rate. We explore whether this "forecast adherence" has influenced the monetary policies ... -
Does Publication of Interest Rate Paths Provide Guidance?
(Working Paper;16/2019, Working paper, 2019)Does the central bank practice of publishing interest rate projections (IRPs) improve how market participants map new information into future interest rates? Using high-frequent data on Forward Rate Agreements (FRAs) we ... -
A statistical analysis of Norges Bank’s forecasts
(Staff Memo;3/2022, Working paper, 2022)In this paper, we perform a statistical analysis of the forecasting properties of Norges Bank’s macroeconomic forecasts in the period 1998 – 2019. As a part of the analysis we assess Norges Bank’s forecasts against similar ... -
When Does an Interest Rate Path “Look Good”? Criteria for an Appropriate Future Interest Rate Path
(Working Papers;5/2006, Working paper, 2006)Svensson (2004) suggested that a monetary policy committee of a central bank (MPC) should “find an instrument-rate path such that projections of inflation and output gap ‘look good’.” Academic literature on monetary policy ...