• Prissetting i norske bedrifter. Resultater fra en spørreundersøkelse 

      Langbraaten, Nina; Nordbø, Einar W.; Wulfsberg, Fredrik (Journal article, 2008)
      I første halvdel av 2007 gjennomførte Norges Bank en spørreundersøkelse om prissetting blant et tilfeldig utvalg av norske bedrifter. Artikkelen presenterer resultater fra undersøkelsen. Bakgrunnen for undersøkelsen er at ...
    • Productivity Growth in Norway 1948–2008 

      Hagelund, Kåre (Journal article, 2009)
      Up to the 1970s labour productivity in Norway was generally high. Relatively low levels of productivity after the war and the import of technology from abroad were probably important factors. From the mid-1970s until the ...
    • Produksjonsgap og finansielle variable 

      Hagelund, Kåre (Staff Memo;14/2016, Working paper, 2016)
      Den potensielle produksjonen er nivået på produksjonen når alle produksjonsfaktorer er fullt og opprettholdbart utnyttet. Denne produksjonen er ikke observerbar. I de ulike fremgangsmåtene for å anslå den potensielle ...
    • Produksjonsgapet i norsk økonomi - ulike metoder, samme svar? 

      Frøyland, Espen; Nymoen, Ragnar (Journal article, 2000)
      Den potensielle produksjonen uttrykker den produksjonen som over tid er forenlig med størst mulig utnyttelse av ressursene i økonomien uten at det oppstår tiltakende kostnadspress. Produksjonsgapet måler avviket mellom ...
    • Produktivitetsutviklingen i Norge 1948 – 2008 

      Hagelund, Kåre (Journal article, 2009)
      Veksten i arbeidskraftproduktiviteten i Norge siden krigen har gjennomgått flere faser. I etterkrigstiden og fram til 1970-tallet var den gjennomgående høy. Et forholdsvis lavt produktivitetsnivå etter krigen sammen med ...
    • Prognosearbeidet i Norges Bank 

      Kloster, Arne; Solberg-Johansen, Kristin (Journal article, 2006)
      Norges Banks prognoser for den økonomiske utviklingen er en viktig del av grunnlaget for pengepolitikken. Anslagene for de økonomiske størrelsene og for renteutviklingen er gjensidig avhengige av hverandre. I arbeidet med ...
    • Prognoser, usikkerhet og valg av renteforutsetning i pengepolitikken 

      Bergo, Jarle (Journal article, 2006)
      I arbeidet med å lage prognoser for størrelser som produksjon og inflasjon må en samtidig ha en oppfatning av utviklingen i fremtidig rente. Mens Norges Banks prognoser tidligere var basert på at renten ville utvikle seg ...
    • Progress from Forecast Failure — the Norwegian Consumption Function 

      Eitrheim, Øyvind; Jansen, Eilev S.; Nymoen, Ragnar (Working Papers;10/2000, Working paper, 2000)
      After a forecast failure, a respecification is usually necessary to account for the data ex post, in which case there is a gain in knowledge as a result of the forecast failure. Using Norwegian consumption as an example, ...
    • Projections, Uncertainty and Choice of Interest Rate Assumption in Monetary Policy 

      Bergo, Jarle (Journal article, 2006)
      Norges Banks’ views on future interest rate developments have often attracted considerable attention. For a long period, our analyses were based on the assumption that the interest rate would move in line with market ...
    • Public Finances – the Difficult Path Back to Sustainable Levels 

      Larsen, Unni; Støholen, Bente (Economic Commentaries;2/2010, Others, 2010)
      In order to curb falling output and employment resulting from the financial crisis, extensive monetary and fiscal measures were put in place by authorities the world over. Many governments also recapitalised banks to ...
    • Pursuing Financial Stability Under an Inflation-Targeting Regime 

      Akram, Q. Farooq; Bårdsen, Gunnar; Lindquist, Kjersti-Gro (Working Papers;8/2006, Working paper, 2006)
      We evaluate two main views on pursuing financial stability within a flexible inflation-targeting regime. It appears that potential gains from an activist or precautionary approach to promoting financial stability are highly ...
    • Quantifying macroeconomic uncertainty in Norway 

      Bowe, Frida; Kirkeby, Sara J.; Lindalen, Ingvild H.; Matsen, Kristine A.; Meyer, Sara S.; Robstad, Ørjan (Staff Memo;13/2023, Working paper, 2023)
      This paper presents a framework for quantifying uncertainty around point forecasts for GDP, inflation and house prices in Norway. The framework combines quantile regressions using a broad set of uncertainty indicators with ...
    • Quantifying time-varying forecast uncertainty and risk for the real price of oil 

      Aastveit, Knut Are; Cross, Jamie L.; van Dijk, Herman K. (Working Paper;3/2021, Working paper, 2021)
      We propose a novel and numerically efficient quantification approach to forecast uncertainty of the real price of oil using a combination of probabilistic individual model forecasts. Our combination method extends earlier ...
    • R&D Heterogeneity and Its Implications for Growth 

      Galaasen, Sigurd Mølster; Irarrazabal, Alfonso (Working Papers;15/2016, Working paper, 2016)
      This paper quantifies the determinants of heterogeneity in R&D investment and its implications for growth. Using a panel of Norwegian manufacturing firms we document a negative correlation between R&D intensity and firm ...
    • The rationale for central bank liquidity insurance and liquidity regulation 

      Søvik, Ylva (Staff Memo;3/2020, Working paper, 2020)
      One of the core functions of a central bank is to provide liquidity insurance, often termed the lender of last resort (LLR) function. During and after the Great Financial Crisis (GFC) in 2007-09 central banks’ role as ...
    • RBCs and DSGEs: The Computational Approach to Business Cycle Theory and Evidence 

      Karagedikli, Özer; Matheson, Troy; Smith, Christie; Vahey, Shaun P. (Working Papers;17/2008, Working paper, 2008)
      Real Business Cycle (RBC) and Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium (DSGE) methods have become essential components of the macroeconomist’s toolkit. This literature review stresses recently developed techniques for ...
    • Real and Financial Tradeoffs in Non-Listed Firms: Cash Flow Sensitivities and How They Change with Shocks to Firms' Main-Bank 

      Ostergaard, Charlotte; Sasson, Amir; Sørensen, Bent E. (Working Papers;27/2010, Working paper, 2010)
      We study how non-listed firms trade off financial, real, and distributive uses of cash. We show that firms' marginal value of cash (MVC) affects the mix of external and internal finance used to absorb fluctuations in cash ...
    • Real-Time Inflation Forecasting in a Changing World 

      Groen, Jan J. J.; Paap, Richard; Ravazzolo, Francesco (Working Papers;16/2009, Working paper, 2009)
      This paper revisits inflation forecasting using reduced form Phillips curve forecasts, i.e., inflation forecasts using activity and expectations variables. We propose a Phillips curve-type model that results from averaging ...
    • Regional Differences in House Prices and Debt 

      Anundsen, André K.; Mæhlum, Sverre (Economic Commentaries;4/2017, Others, 2017)
      House prices and household debt are closely linked. Both house prices and household debt have been rising faster than household income for a longer period. In order to assess household vulnerabilities, debt relative to ...
    • Regional US House Price Formation: One Model Fits All? 

      Anundsen, André K.; Heebøll, Christian (Working Papers;8/2014, Working paper, 2014)
      Does a "one model fits all" approach apply to the econometric modeling of regional house price determination? To answer this question, we utilize a panel of 100 US Metropolitan Statistical Areas over the period 1980q1-2010q2. ...