Blar i Arbeidsnotater / Working Papers på emneord "machine learning"
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Asset Returns, News Topics, and Media Effects
(Working Papers;17/2017, Working paper, 2017)We decompose the textual data in a daily Norwegian business newspaper into news topics and investigate their predictive and causal role for asset prices. Our three main findings are: (1) a one unit innovation in the news ... -
Components of Uncertainty
(Working Papers;5/2017, Working paper, 2017)Uncertainty is acknowledged to be a source of economic fluctuations. But, does the type of uncertainty matter for the economy's response to an uncertainty shock? This paper offers a novel identification strategy to disentangle ... -
News media vs. FRED-MD for macroeconomic forecasting
(Working Paper;14/2020, Working paper, 2020)Using a unique dataset of 22.5 million news articles from the Dow Jones Newswires Archive, we perform an in depth real-time out-of-sample forecasting comparison study with one of the most widely used data sets in the newer ...