• Forecasting Inflation with an Uncertain Output Gap 

      Bjørnland, Hilde C.; Brubakk, Leif; Jore, Anne Sofie (Working Papers;2/2006, Working paper, 2006)
      The output gap is a crucial concept in the monetary policy framework, indicating demand pressure that generates inflation. However, its definition and estimation raise a number of theoretical and empirical questions. This ...
    • Forward Guidance Through Interest Rate Projections: Does It Work? 

      Brubakk, Leif; Xu, Hong; ter Ellen, Saskia (Working Papers;6/2017, Working paper, 2017)
      Based on high-frequency data for Norway and Sweden, we investigate to what extent explicit forward guidance from monetary policy makers, by means of publishing the path of expected future policy rates, affects the market ...
    • The macroeconomic effects of forward communication 

      Brubakk, Leif; ter Ellen, Saskia; Robstad, Ørjan; Xu, Hong (Working Paper;20/2019, Working paper, 2019)
      This paper provides an empirical assessment of the power of forward guidance at different horizons, shedding new light on the strength of the “forward guidance puzzle”. Our identification strategy allows us to disentangle ...
    • Simple Rules Versus Optimal Policy: What Fits? 

      Bache, Ida Wolden; Brubakk, Leif; Maih, Junior (Working Papers;3/2010, Working paper, 2010)
      We estimate a small open-economy DSGE model for Norway with two specifications of monetary policy: a simple instrument rule and optimal policy based on an intertemporal loss function. The empirical fit of the model with ...