• Bootstrapping the Likelihood Ratio Cointegration Test in Error Correction Models with Unknown Lag Order 

      Kascha, Christian; Trenkler, Carsten (Working Papers;12/2009, Working paper, 2009)
      We investigate the small-sample size and power properties of bootstrapped likelihood ratio systems cointegration tests via Monte Carlo simulations when the true lag order of the data generating process is unknown. A recursive ...
    • Business Cycle Analysis and VARMA Models 

      Kascha, Christian; Mertens, Karel (Working Papers;5/2008, Working paper, 2008)
      Can long-run identified structural vector autoregressions (SVARs) discriminate between competing models in practice? Several authors have suggested SVARs fail partly because they are finite-order approximations to ...
    • Combining Inflation Density Forecasts 

      Kascha, Christian; Ravazzolo, Francesco (Working Papers;22/2008, Working paper, 2008)
      In this paper, we empirically evaluate competing approaches for combining inflation density forecasts in terms of Kullback-Leibler divergence. In particular, we apply a similar suite of models to four different data sets ...