Blar i Arbeidsnotater / Working Papers på forfatter "Robstad, Ørjan"

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    • Estimating hysteresis effects 

      Furlanetto, Francesco; Robstad, Ørjan; Ulvedal, Pål; Lepetit, Antoine (Working Paper;13/2020, Working paper, 2020)
      In this paper we extend the standard Blanchard-Quah decomposition to enable fluctuations in aggregate demand to have a long-run impact on the productive capacity of the economy through hysteresis effects. These demand ...

    • Financial Imbalances, Crisis Probability and Monetary Policy in Norway 

      Alstadheim, Ragna; Robstad, Ørjan; Vonen, Nikka Husom (Working Papers;21/2017, Working paper, 2017)
      We assess the strength of the impact of a monetary policy shock on financial crisis probability in Norway. Policy effects go via the interest rate impact on credit, house prices and banks’ wholesale funding. We find that ...

    • House Prices, Credit and the Effect of Monetary Policy in Norway: Evidence from Structural VAR Models 

      Robstad, Ørjan (Working Papers;5/2014, Working paper, 2014)
      This paper investigates the responses of house prices and household credit to monetary policy shocks in Norway, using Bayesian structural VAR models. I find that the effect of a monetary policy shock on house prices is ...

    • Immigration and the Macroeconomy: Some New Empirical Evidence 

      Furlanetto, Francesco; Robstad, Ørjan (Working Papers;18/2016, Working paper, 2016)
      We propose a new VAR identification scheme that enables us to disentangle immigration shocks from other macroeconomic shocks. Identification is achieved by imposing sign restrictions on Norwegian data over the period 1990Q1 ...

    • The macroeconomic effects of forward communication 

      Brubakk, Leif; ter Ellen, Saskia; Robstad, Ørjan; Xu, Hong (Working Paper;20/2019, Working paper, 2019)
      This paper provides an empirical assessment of the power of forward guidance at different horizons, shedding new light on the strength of the “forward guidance puzzle”. Our identification strategy allows us to disentangle ...

    • Norges Bank Output Gap Estimates: Forecasting Properties, Reliability and Cyclical Sensitivity 

      Furlanetto, Francesco; Hagelund, Kåre; Hansen, Frank; Robstad, Ørjan (Working Paper;7/2020, Working paper, 2020)
      This paper documents the suite of models used by Norges Bank to estimate the output gap. The models are estimated using data on GDP, unemployment, inflation, wages, investment, house prices and credit. We evaluate the ...