Blar i Arbeidsnotater / Working Papers på emneord "density forecast"
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Aggregate density forecast of models using disaggregate data - A copula approach
(Working paper;5/2022, Working paper, 2022)We propose a novel copula approach to producing density forecasts of economic aggregates combining models using disaggregate data. Our copula approach is more flexible compared to existing techniques, because it is applicable ... -
Bayesian Nonparametric Calibration and Combination of Predictive Distributions
(Working Papers;3/2015, Working paper, 2015)We introduce a Bayesian approach to predictive density calibration and combination that accounts for parameter uncertainty and model set incompleteness through the use of random calibration functionals and random combination ...