• Aggregate density forecast of models using disaggregate data - A copula approach 

      Paulsen, Kenneth Sæterhagen; Fastbø, Tuva Marie; Ingebrigtsen, Tobias (Working paper;5/2022, Working paper, 2022)
      We propose a novel copula approach to producing density forecasts of economic aggregates combining models using disaggregate data. Our copula approach is more flexible compared to existing techniques, because it is applicable ...
    • Forecast Densities for Economic Aggregates from Disaggregate Ensembles 

      Ravazzolo, Francesco; Vahey, Shaun P. (Working Papers;2/2010, Working paper, 2010)
      We propose a methodology for producing forecast densities for economic aggregates based on disaggregate evidence. Our ensemble predictive methodology utilizes a linear mixture of experts framework to combine the forecast ...