• Documentation of NEMO - Norges Bank’s Core Model for Monetary Policy Analysis and Forecasting 

      Gerdrup, Karsten R.; Kravik, Erling Motzfeldt; Paulsen, Kenneth Sæterhagen; Robstad, Ørjan (Staff Memo;8/2017, Working paper, 2017)
      This paper explains the basic mechanisms of Norges Bank’s core model for monetary policy analysis and forecasting (NEMO). NEMO has recently been extended with an oil sector to incorporate important channels of shocks to ...
    • Finding DORY 

      Landsem, Jørgen; Njølstad, Erlend; Paulsen, Kenneth Sæterhagen; Robstad, Ørjan; Åstebøl, Magnus (Staff Memo;2/2022, Working paper, 2022)
      This paper describes the semi-structural model DORY used by Norges Bank as a link between raw data, sector experts and the core policy model NEMO. While the primary objective in NEMO is to analyse business cycle fluctuations ...
    • Handling structural break points in NEMO 

      Kravik, Erling Motzfeldt; Paulsen, Kenneth Sæterhagen (Staff Memo;2/2020, Working paper, 2020)
      This paper documents a new feature in Norges Bank’s policy model NEMO, namely the ability to handle structural break points, i.e. shifts in one or more parameter values at a specific point in time. This property is introduced ...
    • A SMARTer way to forecast 

      Bowe, Frida; Friis, Inga Nielsen; Loneland, Atle; Njølstad, Erlend Salvesen; Meyer, Sara Skjeggestad; Paulsen, Kenneth Sæterhagen; Robstad, Ørjan (Staff Memo;7/2023, Working paper, 2023)
      In this paper we describe the newly developed System for Model Analysis in Real Time (SMART) used for forecasting and model analysis in Norges Bank. While the long-term goal is to include all empirical models used in ...