Blar i Staff Memo på forfatter "Robstad, Ørjan"

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    • Documentation of NEMO - Norges Bank’s Core Model for Monetary Policy Analysis and Forecasting 

      Gerdrup, Karsten R.; Kravik, Erling Motzfeldt; Paulsen, Kenneth Sæterhagen; Robstad, Ørjan (Staff Memo;8/2017, Working paper, 2017)
      This paper explains the basic mechanisms of Norges Bank’s core model for monetary policy analysis and forecasting (NEMO). NEMO has recently been extended with an oil sector to incorporate important channels of shocks to ...

    • Effects of a New Monetary Policy Loss Function in NEMO 

      Lund, Kathrine; Robstad, Ørjan (Staff Memo;10/2012, Working paper, 2012)
      In this memo we provide technical documentation of the impulse responses to some representative shocks in NEMO. The impulse responses are shown both with the new specification of the monetary policy loss function presented ...

    • Estimates of the Neutral Rate of Interest in Norway 

      Brubakk, Leif; Ellingsen, Jon; Robstad, Ørjan (Staff Memo;7/2018, Working paper, 2018)
      In this paper, we estimate the neutral real rate for the Norwegian economy using two different empirical models, a vector autoregressive model with time-varying parameters (TVP-VAR) and a State-Space (SS) model similar to ...

    • Finding DORY 

      Landsem, Jørgen; Njølstad, Erlend; Paulsen, Kenneth Sæterhagen; Robstad, Ørjan; Åstebøl, Magnus (Staff Memo;2/2022, Working paper, 2022)
      This paper describes the semi-structural model DORY used by Norges Bank as a link between raw data, sector experts and the core policy model NEMO. While the primary objective in NEMO is to analyse business cycle fluctuations ...

    • Model Estimates of the Output Gap 

      Hagelund, Kåre; Hansen, Frank; Robstad, Ørjan (Staff Memo;4/2018, Working paper, 2018)
      This paper documents a set of models used by Norges Bank in estimating the output gap. The models take into account developments in key cyclical indicators such as GDP, unemployment, inflation, wage growth, investment, ...

    • Modellberegninger av produksjonsgapet 

      Hagelund, Kåre; Hansen, Frank; Robstad, Ørjan (Staff Memo;4/2018, Working paper, 2018)
      I denne artikkelen dokumenteres et sett av modeller som Norges Bank benytter i vurderingen av produksjonsgapet. Modellene tar hensyn til utviklingen i sentrale konjunkturindikatorer som BNP, arbeidsledighet, inflasjon, ...

    • Quantifying macroeconomic uncertainty in Norway 

      Bowe, Frida; Kirkeby, Sara J.; Lindalen, Ingvild H.; Matsen, Kristine A.; Meyer, Sara S.; Robstad, Ørjan (Staff Memo;13/2023, Working paper, 2023)
      This paper presents a framework for quantifying uncertainty around point forecasts for GDP, inflation and house prices in Norway. The framework combines quantile regressions using a broad set of uncertainty indicators with ...

    • A SMARTer way to forecast 

      Bowe, Frida; Friis, Inga Nielsen; Loneland, Atle; Njølstad, Erlend Salvesen; Meyer, Sara Skjeggestad; Paulsen, Kenneth Sæterhagen; Robstad, Ørjan (Staff Memo;7/2023, Working paper, 2023)
      In this paper we describe the newly developed System for Model Analysis in Real Time (SMART) used for forecasting and model analysis in Norges Bank. While the long-term goal is to include all empirical models used in ...