• Monetary Regime and the Co-Ordination of Wage Setting 

      Holden, Steinar (Working Papers;1/2000, Working paper, 2000)
      International comparisons show that countries with co-ordinated wage setting generally have lower unemployment than countries with less co-ordinated wage setting. This paper argues that the monetary regime may affect whether ...
    • Money in the Equilibrium of Banking 

      Illing, Gerhard; Cao, Jin (Working Papers;22/2015, Working paper, 2015)
      In most banking models, money is merely modeled as a medium of transactions, but in reality, money is also the most liquid asset for banks. Central banks do not only passively supply money to meet demand for transactions, ...
    • Monitoring multicountry macroeconomic risk 

      Korobilis, Dimitris; Schröder, Maximilian (Working paper;9/2023, Working paper, 2023)
      We propose a multicountry quantile factor augmeneted vector autoregression (QFAVAR) to model heterogeneities both across countries and across characteristics of the distributions of macroeconomic time series. The presence ...
    • Mortgage regulation and financial vulnerability at the household level 

      Aastveit, Knut Are; Juelsrud, Ragnar Enger; Wold, Ella Getz (Working Paper;6/2020, Working paper, 2020)
      We evaluate the impact of mortgage regulation on credit volumes, household balance sheets and the reaction to adverse economic shocks. Using a comprehensive dataset of all housing transactions in Norway matched with buyers' ...
    • Multiple credit constraints and timevarying macroeconomic dynamics 

      Ingholt, Marcus Mølbak (Working Paper;10/2020, Working paper, 2020)
      I explore the macroeconomic implications of borrowers facing both loan-to-value (LTV) and debt-service-to-income (DTI) limits, using an estimated DSGE model. I identify when each constraint dominated over the period ...
    • Multiple Unemployment Equilibria: Do Transitory Shocks Have Permanent Effects? 

      Akram, Q. Farooq (Working Papers;6/1999, Working paper, 1999)
      This paper tests for multiple equilibria in the Norwegian unemployment rate and investigates whether it displays asymmetric response to positive and negative shocks. Linear and nonlinear univariate models are employed to ...
    • Multivariate Bayesian Predictive Synthesis in Macroeconomic Forecasting 

      McAlinn, Kenichiro; Aastveit, Knut Are; Nakajima, Jouchi; West, Mike (Working Paper;2/2019, Working paper, 2019)
      We present new methodology and a case study in use of a class of Bayesian predictive synthesis (BPS) models for multivariate time series forecasting. This extends the foundational BPS framework to the multivariate setting, ...
    • Myths and Facts About the Alleged Over-Pricing of U.S. Real Estate. Evidence from Multi-Factor Asset Pricing Models of REIT Returns 

      Guidolin, Massimo; Ravazzolo, Francesco; Tortora, Andrea Donato (Working Papers;19/2011, Working paper, 2011)
      This paper uses a multi-factor pricing model with time-varying risk exposures and premia to examine whether the 2003-2006 period has been characterized, as often claimed by a number of commentators and policymakers, by a ...
    • Narrative monetary policy surprises and the media 

      ter Ellen, Saskia; Larsen, Vegard H.; Thorsrud, Leif Anders (Working Paper;19/2019, Working paper, 2019)
      We propose a method to quantify narratives from textual data in a structured manner, and identify what we label "narrative monetary policy surprises" as the change in economic media coverage that can be explained by central ...
    • Nåverdien av statens investeringer i og støtte til norske banker 

      Moen, Harald (Arbeidsnotater;6/2003, Working paper, 2003)
      Under bankkrisen på slutten av 1980-tallet og begynnelsen av 1990-tallet bidro Statens Banksikringsfond, Statens Bankinvesteringsfond og Norges Bank med støtte til og investeringer i norske forretnings- og sparebanker. Jeg ...
    • Negative Nominal Interest Rates and the Bank Lending Channel 

      Eggertsson, Gauti B.; Juelsrud, Ragnar E.; Summers, Lawrence H.; Wold, Ella Getz (Working Paper;4/2019, Working paper, 2019)
      Following the crisis of 2008, several central banks engaged in a new experiment by setting negative policy rates. Using aggregate and bank level data, we document that deposit rates stopped responding to policy rates once ...
    • New Perspectives on Capital and Sticky Prices 

      Sveen, Tommy; Weinke, Lutz (Working Papers;3/2004, Working paper, 2004)
      We model capital accumulation in a dynamic New-Keynesian model with staggered price setting à la Calvo. It is assumed that firms do not have access to a rental market for capital. We compare our model with an alternative ...
    • New Perspectives on Depreciation Shocks as a Source of Business Cycle Fluctuations 

      Furlanetto, Francesco; Seneca, Martin (Working Papers;2/2011, Working paper, 2011)
      In this paper we study the transmission for capital depreciation shocks. The existing literature in the Real Business Cycle tradition has concluded that these shocks are irrelevant for business cycle fluctuations. We show ...
    • News media vs. FRED-MD for macroeconomic forecasting 

      Ellingsen, Jon; Larsen, Vegard H.; Thorsrud, Leif Anders (Working Paper;14/2020, Working paper, 2020)
      Using a unique dataset of 22.5 million news articles from the Dow Jones Newswires Archive, we perform an in depth real-time out-of-sample forecasting comparison study with one of the most widely used data sets in the newer ...
    • News-Driven Inflation Expectations and Information Rigidities 

      Larsen, Vegard Høghaug; Thorsrud, Leif Anders; Zhulanova, Julia (Working Paper;5/2019, Working paper, 2019)
      We investigate the role played by the media in the expectations formation process of households. Using a novel news-topic-based approach we show that news types the media choose to report on, e.g., fiscal policy, health, ...
    • Non-Linear Dynamics in Output, Real Exchange Rates and Real Money Balances: Norway, 1830-2003 

      Akram, Q. Farooq; Eitrheim, Øyvind; Sarno, Lucio (Working Papers;2/2005, Working paper, 2005)
      We characterise the behaviour of Norwegian output, the real exchange rate and real money balances over a period of almost two centuries. The empirical analysis is based on a new annual data set that has recently been ...
    • Non-standard errors 

      Menkveld, Albert J.; Ter Ellen, Saskia; Wika, Hans Christian (Working paper;13/2021, Working paper, 2021)
      In statistics, samples are drawn from a population in a datagenerating process (DGP). Standard errors measure the uncertainty in sample estimates of population parameters. In science, evidence is generated to test hypotheses ...
    • Nonlinear transmission of financial shocks: Some new evidence 

      Forni, Mario; Gambetti, Luca; Maffei-Faccioli, Nicolò; Sala, Luca (Working paper;3/2022, Working paper, 2022)
      Financial shocks generate a protracted and quantitatively important effect on real economic activity and financial markets only if the shocks are both negative and large. Otherwise, their role is quite modest. Financial ...
    • Norges Bank 1999-2010: Governance and Structural Reforms 

      Bøhn, Harald (Working Papers;16/2012, Working paper, 2012)
      In 1999 Norges Bank employed 1150 persons and had 12 regional branches located in various cities across the country. In 2010, the regional branches had all been closed and the traditional central bank staff had been reduced ...
    • Norges Bank Output Gap Estimates: Forecasting Properties, Reliability and Cyclical Sensitivity 

      Furlanetto, Francesco; Hagelund, Kåre; Hansen, Frank; Robstad, Ørjan (Working Paper;7/2020, Working paper, 2020)
      This paper documents the suite of models used by Norges Bank to estimate the output gap. The models are estimated using data on GDP, unemployment, inflation, wages, investment, house prices and credit. We evaluate the ...