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    • Do Central Banks Respond Timely to Developments in the Global Economy? 

      Bjørnland, Hilde C.; Thorsrud, Leif Anders; Zahiri, Sepideh Khayati (Working Papers;19/2016, Working paper, 2016)
      Our analysis suggests; they do not! To arrive at this conclusion we construct a real-time data set of interest rate projections from central banks in three small open economies; New Zealand, Norway, and Sweden, and analyze ...

    • Do Central Banks Respond to Exchange Rate Movements? a Markov-Switching Structural Investigation 

      Alstadheim, Ragna; Bjørnland, Hilde C.; Maih, Junior (Working Papers;24/2013, Working paper, 2013)
      Do central banks respond to exchange rate movements? According to Lubik and Schorfheide (2007) who estimate structural general equilibrium models with monetary policy rules, the answer is "Yes, some do". However, their ...

    • Do Re-Election Probabilities Influence Public Investment? 

      Fiva, Jon H.; Natvik, Gisle James (Working Papers;13/2009, Working paper, 2009)
      We identify exogenous variation in incumbent policymakers’ re-election probabilities and explore empirically how this variation affects the incumbents’ investment in physical capital. Our results indicate that a higher ...

    • Does Forecast Combination Improve Norges Bank Inflation Forecasts? 

      Bjørnland, Hilde C.; Gerdrup, Karsten R.; Jore, Anne Sofie; Smith, Christie; Thorsrud, Leif Anders (Working Papers;1/2009, Working paper, 2009)
      We develop a system that provides model-based forecasts for inflation in Norway. Forecasts are recursively evaluated from 1999 to 2008. The performance of the models over this period is then used to derive weights that are ...

    • Does Information Sharing Reduce the Role of Collateral as a Screening Device? 

      Karapetyan, Artashes; Stacescu, Bogdan (Working Papers;19/2012, Working paper, 2012)
      Information sharing and collateral reduce adverse selection costs, but are costly for lenders. When a bank learns more about the types of its rival's borrowers through information sharing (e.g., credit bureaus), it might ...

    • Does Monetary Policy React to Asset Prices? Some International Evidence 

      Furlanetto, Francesco (Working Papers;7/2008, Working paper, 2008)
      This paper attempts to measure the reaction of monetary policy to the stock market. We apply the procedure of Rigobon and Sack (2003) to identify and estimate a VAR in the presence of heteroskedasticity. This procedure ...

    • Does Publication of Interest Rate Paths Provide Guidance? 

      Rime, Dagfinn; Syrstad, Olav; Natvik, Gisle J. (Working Paper;16/2019, Working paper, 2019)
      Does the central bank practice of publishing interest rate projections (IRPs) improve how market participants map new information into future interest rates? Using high-frequent data on Forward Rate Agreements (FRAs) we ...

    • Does SOFR-linked debt cost borrowers more than LIBOR-linked debt? 

      Klingler, Sven; Syrstad, Olav (Working paper;7/2023, Working paper, 2023)
      We investigate if the benchmark transition from London Interbank Offered Rate (Libor) to Secured Overnight Financing Rate (SOFR) affects the costs of borrowing floating rate debt. The primary market for dollar-denominated ...

    • Does the Law of One Price Hold in International Financial Markets? Evidence from Tick Data 

      Akram, Q. Farooq; Rime, Dagfinn; Sarno, Lucio (Working Papers;19/2008, Working paper, 2008)
      This paper investigates the validity of the law of one price (LOP) in international financial markets by examining the frequency, size and duration of inter-market price differentials for borrowing and lending services ...

    • Downward nominal house price rigidity: Evidence from three centuries of data on housing transactions 

      Erlandsen, Solveig K.; Juelsrud, Ragnar Enger (Working paper;1/2023, Working paper, 2023)
      By analyzing housing data from the period 1850 to 2019 in Norway, we find evidence of downward nominal house price rigidity. More specifically, we document that there is a marked fraction of repeat-sales housing transactions ...

    • Downward Nominal Wage Rigidity in the OECD 

      Holden, Steinar; Wulfsberg, Fredrik (Working Papers;5/2004, Working paper, 2004)
      This paper explores the existence of downward nominal wage rigidity (DNWR) in 19 OECD countries, over the period 1973–1999, using data for hourly nominal wages at industry level. Based on a novel nonparametric statistical ...

    • Dutch disease dynamics reconsidered 

      Bjørnland, Hilde C.; Thorsrud, Leif Anders; Torvik, Ragnar (Working papers;2018/1, Working paper, 2018)
      In this paper we develop the first model to incorporate the dynamic productivity consequences of both the spending effect and the resource movement effect of oil abundance. We show that doing so dramatically alters the ...

    • Dynamic Predictive Density Combinations for Large Data Sets in Economics and Finance 

      Casarin, Roberto; Grassi, Stefano; Ravazzolo, Francesco; van Dijk, Herman K. (Working Papers;12/2015, Working paper, 2015)
      A Bayesian nonparametric predictive model is introduced to construct time-varying weighted combinations of a large set of predictive densities. A clustering mechanism allocates these densities into a smaller number of ...

    • Early Warning Indicators for Norwegian Banks: A Logit Analysis of the Experiences from the Banking Crisis 

      Berg, Sigbjørn Atle; Hexeberg, Barbro (Working Papers;1/1994, Working paper, 1994)
      Most existing early warning studies for the banking industry are based on U.S. data. The present paper considers the experiences made during the Norwegian banking crisis 1988- 92. The performance of a set of possible early ...

    • ECB Spillovers and Domestic Monetary Policy Effectiveness in Small Open Economies 

      ter Ellen, Saskia; Jansen, Edvard; Midthjell, Nina Larsson (Working Paper;9/2018, Working paper, 2018)
      In this paper we study financial spillovers from the European Central Bank's (ECB) monetary policy and communication, and whether they have consequences for the effectiveness of domestic monetary policy of small open ...

    • Econometric Inflation Targeting 

      Bårdsen, Gunnar; Jansen, Eilev S.; Nymoen, Ragnar (Working Papers;5/1999, Working paper, 1999)
      Inflation targeting makes the Central Bank’s conditional inflation forecast the operational target for monetary policy. Successful inflation targeting requires knowing the transmission mechanisms to inflation from shocks ...

    • Economic Uncertainty and the Effectiveness of Monetary Policy 

      Aastveit, Knut Are; Natvik, Gisle James; Sola, Sergio (Working Papers;17/2013, Working paper, 2013)
      This paper explores if economic uncertainty alters the macroeconomic influence of monetary policy. We consider several measures of U.S. economic uncertainty, and estimate their interaction effects with monetary policy ...

    • Efficient Consumption of Revenues from Natural Resources - an Application to Norwegian Petroleum Revenues 

      Akram, Q. Farooq (Working Papers;1/2005, Working paper, 2005)
      This paper addresses the so-called natural resource curse by devising a rule that can reduce macroeconomic costs associated with the consumption of revenues from natural resources. It assumes that such macroeconomic costs ...

    • Efficient Perturbation Methods for Solving Regime-Switching DSGE Models 

      Maih, Junior (Working Papers;1/2015, Working paper, 2015)
      In an environment where economic structures break, variances change, distributions shift, conventional policies weaken and past events tend to reoccur, economic agents have to form expectations over different regimes. This ...

    • Empirical Modelling of Norwegian Import Prices 

      Bache, Ida Wolden (Working Papers;1/2002, Working paper, 2002)
      In this paper we investigate the formation of Norwegian import prices of manufactures over the period 1970(1)–1998(3), thereby extending the sample period used in the study by Naug and Nymoen (1996). If international goods ...