Blar i Staff Memo på emneord "VDP::Samfunnsvitenskap: 200::Økonomi: 210::Samfunnsøkonomi: 212"
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Effekter av ny standardmetode og nytt gulv for IRB-bankene
(Staff Memo;8/2023, Working paper, 2023)EU planlegger å endre kapitaldekningsreglene for bankene i 2025. Regelverksendringene blir innført i Norge gjennom EØS-avtalen. Våre resultater viser at regelverksendringene kan gi små og mellomstore banker (standardmetodebanker) ... -
En forbedret sammensatt systemisk stressindikator (CISS) for Norge
(Staff Memo;3/2019, Working paper, 2019)Norges Banks råd om motsyklisk kapitalbuffer baseres på et bredt sett av kvalitativ og kvantitativ informasjon. Det europeiske systemrisikorådet trekker frem at utviklingen i en generell indikator for systemisk stress i ... -
En statistisk analyse av Norges Banks prognoser
(Staff Memo;3/2022, Working paper, 2022)I denne artikkelen gjennomfører vi en statistisk analyse av prognoseegenskapene til Norges Banks makroøkonomiske prognoser i perioden 1998 – 2019. Som del av analysen vurderer vi Norges Banks prognoser opp mot tilsvarende ... -
Estimates of banks' losses on loans to the corporate sector
(Staff Memo;10/2020, Working paper, 2020)Loans to non-financial enterprises are the main source of banks’ losses. Analyses of banks’ losses on corporate loans are therefore important in the assessment of financial stability. This paper presents Norges Bank’s framework ... -
Et rammeverk for makrotilsynsstresstester
(Staff Memo;1/2019, Working paper, 2019)Vi presenterer et rammeverk for makrotilsynsstresstester. Mens tradisjonelle stresstester vurderer nivået på bankenes kapitaldekning opp mot regulatoriske krav gjennom en tenkt krise, handler makrotilsynsstresstester om å ... -
Financial imbalances and medium-term growth-at-risk in Norway
(Staff Memo;5/2020, Working paper, 2020)We examine how measures of financial imbalances affect macroeconomic tail risks over the medium-term in Norway and in other advanced economies. We use a broad set of financial indicators to capture cyclical systemic risk ... -
Finding DORY
(Staff Memo;2/2022, Working paper, 2022)This paper describes the semi-structural model DORY used by Norges Bank as a link between raw data, sector experts and the core policy model NEMO. While the primary objective in NEMO is to analyse business cycle fluctuations ... -
Frontfagets betydning for lønnsdannelsen i private tjenestnæringer
(Staff Memo;5/2022, Working paper, 2022)I denne analysen ser vi nærmere på i hvilken utstrekning lønnsutviklingen i industrien driver lønnsutviklingen i de ulike tjenesteytende næringene i privat sektor, i tråd med prediksjonen fra frontfagsmodellen. Spesielt ... -
Gjør høy gjeld husholdningenes konsum mer sensitivt for økonomiske sjokk? En oversikt over empirisk litteratur basert på mikrodata
(Staff Memo;3/2023, Working paper, 2023) -
Government support schemes during the Covid-19 pandemic have had a dampening effect on corporate credit risk
(Staff Memo;3/2021, Working paper, 2021)After the Covid-19 pandemic broke out, the authorities have introduced a number of measures aimed at the business sector. Support has largely been given to the sectors hardest hit by the pandemic and measures to contain ... -
Handling structural break points in NEMO
(Staff Memo;2/2020, Working paper, 2020)This paper documents a new feature in Norges Bank’s policy model NEMO, namely the ability to handle structural break points, i.e. shifts in one or more parameter values at a specific point in time. This property is introduced ... -
Har strukturell likviditet større påvirkning på Nibor-påslaget enn tidligere?
(Staff Memo;14/2023, Working paper, 2023)De senere årene har likviditetspremien på å bytte til seg kroner mot dollar, den såkalte OIS-basisen, utgjort en større andel av Nibor-påslaget enn tidligere. Flere har pekt på lav strukturell likviditet og bankers tilpasning ... -
A high-frequency financial conditions index for Norway
(Staff Memo;1/2023, Working paper, 2023)We have constructed a financial conditions index for Norway (FCIN). The FCIN offers a daily update on Norwegian financial conditions based on data from January 2003 on bank lending rates, bond spreads, the foreign exchange ... -
House price prediction using daily news data
(Staff Memo;5/2021, Working paper, 2021)We investigate whether information from news articles could improve predictions of house price inflation at a short forecast horizon. The Covid-19 pandemic led to a shutdown of the Norwegian economy on 12 March 2020. Large ... -
The housing Phillips curve and momentum in the Norwegian housing market
(Staff Memo;10/2023, Working paper, 2023)This paper provides descriptive evidence for a housing Phillips curve in Norway, suggesting a negative relationship between the ratio of inventory-to-sales and subsequent house price growth in the market for existing homes. ... -
How do climate-related conditions affect Norwegian enterprises? : Results of three surveys in Norges Bank's Regional Network
(Staff Memo;5/2023, Working paper, 2023)Climate change and the transition to a low-carbon economy affect the Norwegian and global economy in many ways. To gain greater insight into how these changes affect the Norwegian economy, Norges Bank has asked a selection ... -
How does IFRS 9 affect banks’ impairment recognition in bad times?
(Staff Memo;9/2019, Working paper, 2019)IFRS 9 has changed the way banks recognise credit losses. Under IFRS 9, credit impairment shall be based on more forward-looking assessments by including recognition of expected credit losses. The purpose of this memo is ... -
How much CET1 capital must banks set aside for commercial real estate exposures?
(Staff Memo;10/2019, Working paper, 2019)The Ministry of Finance has proposed a temporary capital requirement (risk weight floor) for commercial real estate (CRE) exposures in Norway, applicable to the largest banks. CRE is the sector where banks have historically ... -
How Much of a Tailwind Have We Had from the Weaker Krone?
(Staff Memo;6/2019, Working paper, 2019)It is usual to assume that a weaker currency will stimulate exports and improve the balance of trade. Despite the krone’s depreciation in recent years, however, exports have grown little and the non-oil trade deficit has ... -
How to assess the systemic risk buffer for banks
(Staff Memo;11/2019, Working paper, 2019)Since 2013, Norwegian banks have been required to hold a systemic risk buffer (SyRB) of 3 percent. The reason for the buffer is to address structural vulnerabilities in the economy and the financial system. The Ministry ...