Blar i Staff Memo på forfatter "Gerdrup, Karsten R."

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    • A Macroprudential Stress Testing Framework 

      Andersen, Henrik; Gerdrup, Karsten R.; Johansen, Rønnaug Melle; Krogh, Tord (Staff Memo;1/2019, Working paper, 2019)
      We present a macroprudential stress testing framework. While traditional stress testing assesses the level of banks’ capital adequacy relative to regulatory requirements through a hypothetical crisis, macroprudential stress ...

    • Documentation of NEMO - Norges Bank’s Core Model for Monetary Policy Analysis and Forecasting 

      Gerdrup, Karsten R.; Kravik, Erling Motzfeldt; Paulsen, Kenneth Sæterhagen; Robstad, Ørjan (Staff Memo;8/2017, Working paper, 2017)
      This paper explains the basic mechanisms of Norges Bank’s core model for monetary policy analysis and forecasting (NEMO). NEMO has recently been extended with an oil sector to incorporate important channels of shocks to ...

    • Et rammeverk for makrotilsynsstresstester 

      Andersen, Henrik; Gerdrup, Karsten R.; Johansen, Rønnaug Melle; Krogh, Tord (Staff Memo;1/2019, Working paper, 2019)
      Vi presenterer et rammeverk for makrotilsynsstresstester. Mens tradisjonelle stresstester vurderer nivået på bankenes kapitaldekning opp mot regulatoriske krav gjennom en tenkt krise, handler makrotilsynsstresstester om å ...

    • Financial imbalances and medium-term growth-at-risk in Norway 

      Arbatli-Saxegaard, Elif C.; Gerdrup, Karsten R.; Johansen, Rønnaug M. (Staff Memo;5/2020, Working paper, 2020)
      We examine how measures of financial imbalances affect macroeconomic tail risks over the medium-term in Norway and in other advanced economies. We use a broad set of financial indicators to capture cyclical systemic risk ...

    • A high-frequency financial conditions index for Norway 

      Bowe, Frida; Gerdrup, Karsten R.; Nicolò, Maffei-Faccioli; Olsen, Helene (Staff Memo;1/2023, Working paper, 2023)
      We have constructed a financial conditions index for Norway (FCIN). The FCIN offers a daily update on Norwegian financial conditions based on data from January 2003 on bank lending rates, bond spreads, the foreign exchange ...

    • Key Indicators for a Countercyclical Capital Buffer in Norway - Trends and Uncertainty 

      Gerdrup, Karsten R.; Kvinlog, Aslak Bakke; Schaanning, Eric (Staff Memo;13/2013, Working paper, 2013)
      The credit-to-GDP gap has a prominent role in the Basel Committee's frame- work for a countercyclical capital buffer under Basel III. The Committee uses a one-sided Hodrick-Prescott filter to calculate the trend of ...

    • On the Purpose of Models - the Norges Bank Experience 

      Gerdrup, Karsten R.; Nicolaisen, Jon (Staff Memo;6/2011, Working paper, 2011)
      Macroeconomic models are important ingredients in the monetary policy process, and, in the Norwegian case, projecting a forward interest rate path. In this paper we argue that when deciding on a model strategy, it is crucial ...

    • Short-Term Forecasting of GDP and Inflation in Real-Time : Norges Bank’s System for Averaging Models 

      Aastveit, Knut Are; Gerdrup, Karsten R.; Jore, Anne Sofie (Staff Memo;9/2011, Working paper, 2011)
      In this paper we describe Norges Bank's system for averaging models (SAM) which produces model-based density forecasts for Norwegian Mainland GDP and inflation. We combine the forecasts from three main types of models ...

    • The Effect of Higher Interest Rates on Household Disposable Income and Consumption - a Static Analysis of the Cash-Flow Channel 

      Gerdrup, Karsten R.; Torstensen, Kjersti Næss (Staff Memo;3/2018, Working paper, 2018)
      Household debt in Norway has risen substantially over the past 15-20 years relative to both disposable income and bank deposits. An increase in interest rates will therefore reduce disposable income for Norwegian households ...

    • Virkningen av økt rente på husholdningenes disponible inntekter og konsum - en statisk analyse av kontantstrømkanalen 

      Gerdrup, Karsten R.; Torstensen, Kjersti Næss (Staff Memo;3/2018, Working paper, 2018)
      Gjelden i norske husholdninger har økt betydelig de siste 15-20 årene både i forhold til utviklingen i disponible inntekter og i forhold til bankinnskudd. En renteøkning vil derfor redusere norske husholdningers disponible ...