Blar i Norges Banks vitenarkiv på tittel
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Prognosearbeidet i Norges Bank
(Journal article, 2006)Norges Banks prognoser for den økonomiske utviklingen er en viktig del av grunnlaget for pengepolitikken. Anslagene for de økonomiske størrelsene og for renteutviklingen er gjensidig avhengige av hverandre. I arbeidet med ... -
Prognoser, usikkerhet og valg av renteforutsetning i pengepolitikken
(Journal article, 2006)I arbeidet med å lage prognoser for størrelser som produksjon og inflasjon må en samtidig ha en oppfatning av utviklingen i fremtidig rente. Mens Norges Banks prognoser tidligere var basert på at renten ville utvikle seg ... -
Prognoser, usikkerhet og valg av renteforutsetning i pengepolitikken
(Others, 2006) -
Progress from Forecast Failure — the Norwegian Consumption Function
(Working Papers;10/2000, Working paper, 2000)After a forecast failure, a respecification is usually necessary to account for the data ex post, in which case there is a gain in knowledge as a result of the forecast failure. Using Norwegian consumption as an example, ... -
Projections, Uncertainty and Choice of Interest Rate Assumption in Monetary Policy
(Journal article, 2006)Norges Banks’ views on future interest rate developments have often attracted considerable attention. For a long period, our analyses were based on the assumption that the interest rate would move in line with market ... -
Prospective Real Returns in Fixed Income
(Discussion note;2/2011, Others, 2011)In this paper, we discuss the potential long-term real return implications of current yield levels in developed economies’ government bond markets. Treasury yields in the major economies are at or very close to their ... -
Prospects for the Norwegian Economy
(Others, 2010) -
Public Finances – the Difficult Path Back to Sustainable Levels
(Economic Commentaries;2/2010, Others, 2010)In order to curb falling output and employment resulting from the financial crisis, extensive monetary and fiscal measures were put in place by authorities the world over. Many governments also recapitalised banks to ... -
Pursuing Financial Stability Under an Inflation-Targeting Regime
(Working Papers;8/2006, Working paper, 2006)We evaluate two main views on pursuing financial stability within a flexible inflation-targeting regime. It appears that potential gains from an activist or precautionary approach to promoting financial stability are highly ... -
Quantifying macroeconomic uncertainty in Norway
(Staff Memo;13/2023, Working paper, 2023)This paper presents a framework for quantifying uncertainty around point forecasts for GDP, inflation and house prices in Norway. The framework combines quantile regressions using a broad set of uncertainty indicators with ... -
Quantifying time-varying forecast uncertainty and risk for the real price of oil
(Working Paper;3/2021, Working paper, 2021)We propose a novel and numerically efficient quantification approach to forecast uncertainty of the real price of oil using a combination of probabilistic individual model forecasts. Our combination method extends earlier ... -
R&D Heterogeneity and Its Implications for Growth
(Working Papers;15/2016, Working paper, 2016)This paper quantifies the determinants of heterogeneity in R&D investment and its implications for growth. Using a panel of Norwegian manufacturing firms we document a negative correlation between R&D intensity and firm ... -
Rammeverk for beslutning av krav til motsyklisk kapitalbuffer
(Norges Bank Memo;4/2022, Report, 2022) -
Rammeverk for råd om krav til systemrisikobuffer
(Norges Bank Memo;5/2022, Report, 2022) -
Rammeverk for råd om motsyklisk kapitalbuffer
(Norges Bank Memo;4/2019, Report, 2019) -
Rapport fra Norges Bank Watch
(Others, 2022) -
Rapport fra Norges Bank Watch 2023
(Others, 2023) -
The rationale for central bank liquidity insurance and liquidity regulation
(Staff Memo;3/2020, Working paper, 2020)One of the core functions of a central bank is to provide liquidity insurance, often termed the lender of last resort (LLR) function. During and after the Great Financial Crisis (GFC) in 2007-09 central banks’ role as ... -
RBCs and DSGEs: The Computational Approach to Business Cycle Theory and Evidence
(Working Papers;17/2008, Working paper, 2008)Real Business Cycle (RBC) and Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium (DSGE) methods have become essential components of the macroeconomist’s toolkit. This literature review stresses recently developed techniques for ...