Blar i Norges Banks vitenarkiv på tittel
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Projections, Uncertainty and Choice of Interest Rate Assumption in Monetary Policy
(Journal article, 2006)Norges Banks’ views on future interest rate developments have often attracted considerable attention. For a long period, our analyses were based on the assumption that the interest rate would move in line with market ... -
Prospective Real Returns in Fixed Income
(Discussion note;2/2011, Others, 2011)In this paper, we discuss the potential long-term real return implications of current yield levels in developed economies’ government bond markets. Treasury yields in the major economies are at or very close to their ... -
Prospects for the Norwegian Economy
(Others, 2010) -
Public Finances – the Difficult Path Back to Sustainable Levels
(Economic Commentaries;2/2010, Others, 2010)In order to curb falling output and employment resulting from the financial crisis, extensive monetary and fiscal measures were put in place by authorities the world over. Many governments also recapitalised banks to ... -
Pursuing Financial Stability Under an Inflation-Targeting Regime
(Working Papers;8/2006, Working paper, 2006)We evaluate two main views on pursuing financial stability within a flexible inflation-targeting regime. It appears that potential gains from an activist or precautionary approach to promoting financial stability are highly ... -
Quantifying macroeconomic uncertainty in Norway
(Staff Memo;13/2023, Working paper, 2023)This paper presents a framework for quantifying uncertainty around point forecasts for GDP, inflation and house prices in Norway. The framework combines quantile regressions using a broad set of uncertainty indicators with ... -
Quantifying time-varying forecast uncertainty and risk for the real price of oil
(Working Paper;3/2021, Working paper, 2021)We propose a novel and numerically efficient quantification approach to forecast uncertainty of the real price of oil using a combination of probabilistic individual model forecasts. Our combination method extends earlier ... -
R&D Heterogeneity and Its Implications for Growth
(Working Papers;15/2016, Working paper, 2016)This paper quantifies the determinants of heterogeneity in R&D investment and its implications for growth. Using a panel of Norwegian manufacturing firms we document a negative correlation between R&D intensity and firm ... -
Rammeverk for beslutning av krav til motsyklisk kapitalbuffer
(Norges Bank Memo;4/2022, Report, 2022) -
Rammeverk for råd om krav til systemrisikobuffer
(Norges Bank Memo;5/2022, Report, 2022) -
Rammeverk for råd om motsyklisk kapitalbuffer
(Norges Bank Memo;4/2019, Report, 2019) -
Rapport fra Norges Bank Watch
(Others, 2022) -
Rapport fra Norges Bank Watch 2023
(Others, 2023) -
The rationale for central bank liquidity insurance and liquidity regulation
(Staff Memo;3/2020, Working paper, 2020)One of the core functions of a central bank is to provide liquidity insurance, often termed the lender of last resort (LLR) function. During and after the Great Financial Crisis (GFC) in 2007-09 central banks’ role as ... -
RBCs and DSGEs: The Computational Approach to Business Cycle Theory and Evidence
(Working Papers;17/2008, Working paper, 2008)Real Business Cycle (RBC) and Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium (DSGE) methods have become essential components of the macroeconomist’s toolkit. This literature review stresses recently developed techniques for ... -
Real and Financial Tradeoffs in Non-Listed Firms: Cash Flow Sensitivities and How They Change with Shocks to Firms' Main-Bank
(Working Papers;27/2010, Working paper, 2010)We study how non-listed firms trade off financial, real, and distributive uses of cash. We show that firms' marginal value of cash (MVC) affects the mix of external and internal finance used to absorb fluctuations in cash ... -
Real-Time Inflation Forecasting in a Changing World
(Working Papers;16/2009, Working paper, 2009)This paper revisits inflation forecasting using reduced form Phillips curve forecasts, i.e., inflation forecasts using activity and expectations variables. We propose a Phillips curve-type model that results from averaging ... -
Reception of the report from Norges Bank Watch (NBW)
(Others, 2021) -
Regional Differences in House Prices and Debt
(Economic Commentaries;4/2017, Others, 2017)House prices and household debt are closely linked. Both house prices and household debt have been rising faster than household income for a longer period. In order to assess household vulnerabilities, debt relative to ... -
Regional US House Price Formation: One Model Fits All?
(Working Papers;8/2014, Working paper, 2014)Does a "one model fits all" approach apply to the econometric modeling of regional house price determination? To answer this question, we utilize a panel of 100 US Metropolitan Statistical Areas over the period 1980q1-2010q2. ...