Blar i Norges Banks vitenarkiv på tittel
Viser treff 1443-1462 av 2799
-
Misunderstood Central Bank Reserves
(Economic Commentaries;1/2012, Others, 2012)Recently, the media in Norway and other countries have reported that euro area banks have sharply increased their deposits with the ECB. That is correct. Some commentators attribute the high level of deposits with the ECB ... -
Mixed Frequency Structural Models: Estimation, and Policy Analysis
(Working Papers;15/2013, Working paper, 2013)In this paper we show analytically, with simulation experiments and with actual data that a mismatch between the time scale of a DSGE model and that of the time series data used for its estimation generally creates ... -
Mixed Frequency Structural VARs
(Working Papers;1/2014, Working paper, 2014)A mismatch between the time scale of a structural VAR (SVAR) model and that of the time series data used for its estimation can have serious consequences for identification, estimation and interpretation of the impulse ... -
Model Estimates of the Output Gap
(Staff Memo;4/2018, Working paper, 2018)This paper documents a set of models used by Norges Bank in estimating the output gap. The models take into account developments in key cyclical indicators such as GDP, unemployment, inflation, wage growth, investment, ... -
Model for Analysing Credit Risk in the Enterprise Sector
(Journal article, 2001)When banks’ overall risk is evaluated, their credit risk exposure to the enterprise sector is a key element. In analyses of banks’ credit risk in the enterprise sector, both a macroeconomic and a business economics approach ... -
Model Selection for Monetary Policy Analysis – Importance of Empirical Validity
(Working Papers;13/2006, Working paper, 2006)We investigate the importance of employing a valid model for monetary policy analysis. Specifically, we investigate the economic significance of differences in specification and empirical validity of models. We consider ... -
Model Specification and Inflation Forecast Uncertainty
(Working Papers;6/2000, Working paper, 2000)Three classes of inflation models are discussed: Standard Phillips curves, New Keynesian Phillips curves and Incomplete Competition models. Their relative merits in explaining and forecasting inflation are investigated ... -
Modell for analyse av kredittrisiko i foretakssektoren
(Journal article, 2001)Sentralt i vurderingen av bankenes samlede risiko er deres kredittrisiko overfor foretakssektoren. I analyser av bankenes kredittrisiko overfor foretakssektoren legges generelt både en makroøkonomisk og en bedriftsøkonomisk ... -
Modellberegninger av produksjonsgapet
(Staff Memo;4/2018, Working paper, 2018)I denne artikkelen dokumenteres et sett av modeller som Norges Bank benytter i vurderingen av produksjonsgapet. Modellene tar hensyn til utviklingen i sentrale konjunkturindikatorer som BNP, arbeidsledighet, inflasjon, ... -
Modellering av kredittrisiko i foretakssektoren - Videreutvikling av SEBRA-modellen
(Journal article, 2007)Norges Bank har siden 2001 brukt en empirisk modell, SEBRA-modellen, til å anslå sannsynligheter for konkurs i norske aksjeselskap. Modellen brukes også til å anslå bankenes forventede utlånstap til foretak og ulike næringer. ... -
Modelling Credit Risk in the Enterprise Sector – Further Development of the SEBRA Model
(Journal article, 2007)Since 2001, Norges Bank has used an empirical model, the SEBRA model2, to estimate bankruptcy probabilities for Norwegian limited companies. The model is also used to estimate banks’ expected losses on loans to enterprises ... -
Modelling equity market term structures
(Diskusjonsnotater;3/2021, Others, 2021)We outline a methodology for estimating term structures of expected dividend growth and risk premiums, which we apply to equity markets in the US, euro area, Japan, and the UK. These term structures are key inputs when ... -
Modelling Inflation in the Euro Area
(Working Papers;10/2004, Working paper, 2004)The paper presents an incomplete competition model (ICM), where inflation is determined jointly with unit labour cost growth. The ICM is estimated on data for the Euro area and evaluated against existing models, i.e. the ... -
Modelling Occasionally Binding Constraints Using Regime-Switching
(Working Papers;23/2017, Working paper, 2017)Occasionally binding constraints are part of the economic landscape: for instance recent experience with the global financial crisis has highlighted the gravity of the lower bound constraint on interest rates; mortgagors ... -
Modelling the Implied Tail Risk of Foreign Exchange
(Discussion note;15/2012, Others, 2012)From a risk management perspective, tail risks and return distribution asymmetries of investments are important to analyse. In this note, we describe a modelling approach that addresses some of the weaknesses of standard ... -
Modernisering og utkontraktering av Norges Banks oppgjørssystem
(Journal article, 2003)Norges Bank har med utkontraktering av systemet for oppgjør mellom bankene tatt et ytterligere skritt i retning av konsentrasjon om sine kjerneoppgaver. Utkontrakteringen forventes å redusere de samlede kostnadene for ... -
Momentum in Futures Market
(Discussion note;1/2014, Others, 2014)In this note, we survey the academic literature and provide empirical evidence related to time-series momentum strategies in the futures markets. We find that this phenomenon is remarkably consistent across 47 diverse ... -
Monetary and Macroprudential Policy with Multi-Period Loans
(Working Papers;16/2014, Working paper, 2014)We study the implications of multi-period loans for monetary and macroprudential policy, considering several realistic modifications - variable vs. fixed loan rates, non-negativity constraint on newly granted loans, and ... -
Monetary Policy : The Importance of Credibility and Confidence
(Others, 2001) -
Monetary Policy Analysis in Practice
(Staff Memo;11/2010, Working paper, 2010)Norges Bank is one of few central banks publishing an interest rate fore- cast. This paper discusses how we derive and communicate the interest rate forecast. To produce the forecasts, the Bank uses a medium-sized small ...